Alonso racing in the 103rd Running of the Indianapolis 500 next May feels like a no-brainer. He wants to complete the Triple Crown of Indianapolis 500, 24 Hours of Le Mans, and Monaco Grand Prix victories, and it's only the Indy 500 win he's missing. He already had an impressive debut at Indy in 2017 and getting a seat for the 500 next year shouldn't be a problem for him. There are surely teams that want to run him, and although Alonso has been one of the best-paid drivers in F1, money should only be a secondary consideration when he's aiming for such a special achievement.
Might Alonso join INDYCAR full-time?
But as Alonso is leaving F1 and has only three WEC races in 2019 in his Toyota contract, might he be joining the Verizon IndyCar Series full-time? I think this is where money may come into question.
Alonso's goal in INDYCAR is to win the Indy 500. His Indy debut showed he doesn't need to run races before Indy to be competitive in the 500. Of course, he could go for the series championship if he did the full INDYCAR season, though I'm not sure how high that is among his priorities. If a Verizon IndyCar Series championship was such a big goal for him, I might have imagined him leaving F1 for INDYCAR already after the last year when it already seemed like he isn't getting into winning machinery in F1.
If Alonso joins INDYCAR full-time, I don't think it will happen on the cheap. A two-time F1 World Champion surely knows his value. Probably every team in the INDYCAR paddock would like a driver of Alonso's caliber but which teams can afford him?
If Alonso does the full season, I think it will be in the possible McLaren entry in a partnership with an existing team. If McLaren enters INDYCAR, Alonso would surely be their first choice to drive their entry. In 2017, McLaren partnered with Andretti Autosport to run Alonso at Indy. However, Andretti already has contracts with three of their current four full-time drivers, Alexander Rossi, Ryan Hunter-Reay, and Zach Veach. Would Michael Andretti drop his son Marco from the team's lineup to make space for Alonso?
Another potential issue with a McLaren-Andretti partnership is the Honda engines. Honda already supplies engines to more cars than the other manufacturer, Chevrolet, does. That might prevent Andretti adding a fifth Honda-powered car to their lineup. Also, any team running Alonso might ask the engine manufacturer to foot Alonso's salary. Following McLaren's criticism of the poor performance of the Japanese manufacturer's F1 power units, Honda may not be willing to be associated with McLaren's INDYCAR program. Besides, Alonso is driving for Honda's arch rival Toyota in the WEC. It's not even obvious Toyota would let him race in a Honda-powered Indy car.
There are rumors about Harding Racing becoming Andretti's satellite team. That might be a solution if Honda engines would be a problem in a McLaren-Andretti partnership as Harding is using Chevy power. Harding has not set the world on fire in their first full Verizon IndyCar Series season, though maybe a partnership with Andretti and McLaren would strengthen their engineering department to give Alonso a car to contend for wins. After the miserable last few seasons in F1, Alonso surely wants to get into a winning car if he joins INDYCAR.
As for other teams in the Chevy camp, Ed Carpenter Racing has usually been strong at the 500. That might be an option, especially if Alonso and McLaren are doing only the 500, not the full season. Though, whether it's drivers or the team, ECR has not made the podium on road and street courses ever since Josef Newgarden left the team. ECR may not be the best team for Alonso and McLaren to aim for the series championship.
Team Penske might be team that could best afford running Alonso, even without a partnership with McLaren. Though Roger Penske all but ruled out running Tony Stewart in the 500 as they already have four cars for next year. That sounds like the team will retain Simon Pagenaud whose contract expires after the current season. Or might they already have a contract in place with Alonso?
That being said, I wouldn't even be sure about Penske willing to run McLaren's INDYCAR program. McLaren's plan is to start with an existing team, then switch to operating the team independently. Team Penske probably already has their hands full with their existing programs and have sponsors for their cars; why would Penske jump-start a potential future rival's INDYCAR program?
Of course, McLaren doesn't have endlessly time to finalize the INDYCAR program for 2019. Their lead program in F1 isn't delivering the expected results. Can McLaren in their current situation expand their racing activities to INDYCAR? If not, then I'm not sure we'll see Alonso racing full-time in INDYCAR.
Is WEC an option beyond current season?
If Alonso doesn't join INDYCAR full-time in 2019, he'll have quite an open schedule for the year. Even if he did the Indy 500, he'd only have four races in his schedule, all before July. Might a WEC contract extension with Toyota be a possibility?
Alonso joined Toyota's WEC program with the goal of winning the Le Mans as the second leg of the Triple Crown. He is also leading the WEC points standings with his No. 8 Toyota having beaten the No. 7 sister car in both two races this season. If he goes and wins the World Endurance Drivers' Championship, he will have achieved the two most important titles in the series.
With the Le Mans win now on his resume, winning the Indy 500 must be Alonso's big goal. But it doesn't rule out staying in the WEC. As long as it's fine for the WEC team, Alonso can do the 500 as a part-time entry and be competitive. If Toyota offered Alonso more money for a contract extension than any INDYCAR team can afford, I wouldn't be surprised to see him staying in the WEC and doing only the 500 in INDYCAR. Combining full INDYCAR and WEC seasons may not be possible because of possible date clashes, like Pocono and Silverstone this year. And even if it was, I'm not sure Alonso wants to commit to such a heavy schedule for another season.
The winter schedule of the WEC might still be problematic for Alonso. With the season finishing in June, there might be schedule clashes if he was to join another series with a calendar-year schedule. That wouldn't likely be a problem with INDYCAR next year, however. Though if Alonso is eyeing an F1 comeback, that might be problematic.
Might Alonso make an F1 comeback?
It feels like the lack of a competitive seat and the chase of the Indy 500 win were the reasons for Alonso to leave F1. At the age of 37, he's the second-oldest active F1 driver. However, one can't say he's too old for an F1 comeback. F1 is just an environment where drivers are brought in early and pushed out early. You can still stay or even return as long as you can show you're worthy of a seat.
Despite his decision to leave F1 after the current season, I wouldn't be too surprised if he jumped at the opportunity to make a comeback in a winning team. I think the fact that he stayed in F1 for another season after his Indy debut shows he still had ambitions in F1. The decision to leave F1 feels more like a realization he can't reach his ambitions in the current circumstances. If he could get back into a competitive car, I wouldn't be surprised to see him back in F1.
For sure, Alonso wants to win the Indy 500. But he's still got at least a decade to go for it. He can return to F1, and still return again to Indy in his hunt of the 500 win. Bobby Unser and Al Unser Sr. were 47 at the time of their last 500 wins, 1981 and 1987 respectively. Even in today's INDYCAR, drivers in their 40s can have success.
Are INDYCAR and WEC Alonso's only options?
When thinking about Fernando Alonso's options for 2019 beyond completing the WEC season with Toyota, running at the Indy 500 feels rather likely. A full Verizon IndyCar Series season is surely a possibility, and also staying in the WEC feels possible.
Beyond INDYCAR and the WEC, the only other option I might imagine for Alonso is Formula E with its increasing manufacturer involvement. Formula E may not take him towards the goal of winning the Indy 500, though maybe some manufacturer might like to spend some big money on attracting a star driver. With a winter schedule like the WEC, Alonso could join Formula E for a new season after he's finished the WEC season. However, unless the Formula E schedule was changed from the previous years, it might clash with the Indy 500 or at least the 500 practice and qualifications.
Personally, I hope Alonso joins INDYCAR full-time in a pursuit of not only the 500 win but also the series championship. That would send a message to other F1 drivers and fans that there's more to motorsports than just F1. INDYCAR has a product that should appeal to F1 fans; a familiar name should bring F1 fans watching INDYCAR. If Alonso did the full season, the fans that tune in to see him racing would see all sides of INDYCAR; not only the high-speed oval of Indianapolis but also the fast road courses like Road America, rough street courses like Detroit, and short ovals like the bullring of Iowa.
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